Brasileiro | Gameweek 31

Oct 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Avai

Galhardo (54'), Hercules (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Avai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, October 5 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Avai

All competitions

Last Game: Avai 1-2 Botafogo
Friday, October 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Avai
58.89% ( -1.09)	23.56% ( 0.4)	17.55% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7% (

-0.54)

53.3% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15% (

-0.46)

74.85% (

0.46)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.16% (

-0.59)

17.84% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.41% (

-1.02)

48.59% (

1.01)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.89% (

0.52)

44.11% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.79% (

0.43)

80.21% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 58.89%

Avai 17.55%

Draw 23.56%

Fortaleza	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.89%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.55%