Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 5, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR1 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Juventude
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Goias 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Fortaleza |
47.01% ( -0.17) | 27.06% ( 0.06) | 25.93% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
