Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 5, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Fortaleza

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Pablo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Galhardo (15')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goias 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 25.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
47.01% (-0.169 -0.17)27.06% (0.059000000000001 0.06)25.93% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18% (-0.145 -0.14)57.82% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (-0.116 -0.12)78.55% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.146 -0.15)24.62% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.204 -0.2)59.13% (0.204 0.2)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17% (0.012 0.01)74.83% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 47.01%
    Fortaleza 25.93%
    Draw 27.05%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 13.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 47.01%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.37% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 25.93%

Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
Oct 23, 2021 11.15pm
Fortaleza
3-0
Athletico PR
Lima (1'), Pikachu (7'), Robson (61')
Robson (73'), Ederson (77')

Canesin (32'), Christian (39')
Jul 3, 2021 11pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Fortaleza
Terans (2'), Babi (9')
Vitinho (34'), Babi (90+3'), Vinicius (90+3')
Torres (86')
Robson (30'), Ronald (34'), Pikachu (45+2')
Nov 7, 2020 9pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Fortaleza
Eduardo (62'), Kayzer (90+2')
Martins (64'), Canesin (81')
Bergson (18')
de Souza (60'), Bergson (90+3')
Aug 8, 2020 11pm
Fortaleza
0-2
Athletico PR

Juninho (39'), Felipe (80'), Paulao (82')
Quintero (68')
Vitinho (22'), Cittadini (45+3')
Kawan (71'), Christian (72')
rhs 2.0


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