Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Juventude
68.37% ( -0.27)	19.44% ( 0.12)	12.18% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 45.53% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.16% (

-0.13)

46.84% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.9% (

-0.13)

69.09% (

0.12)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.12)

12.64% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.2% (

-0.24)

38.79% (

0.24)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.12% (

0.17)

47.88% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.86% (

0.13)

83.14% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 68.36%

Juventude 12.18%

Draw 19.44%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 68.36%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.44%	0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 12.18%