Brasileiro | Gameweek 26

Sep 11, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Juventude

Rony (46'), Cerqueira (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parede (63')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Juventude.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, September 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	25	23	51
2	Flamengo	25	19	44
3	Internacional	25	15	43

Juventude

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Avai
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Avai	25	-14	24
19	Atletico Goianiense	25	-15	22
20	Juventude	25	-23	18

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 81.73%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 5.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Juventude
81.73% ( 0.25)	13% ( -0.14)	5.27% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 36.21% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72% (

0.16)

41.28% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32% (

0.16)

63.67% (

-0.16)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.17% (

0.1)

7.82% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.24% (

0.24)

27.76% (

-0.23)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.28% (

-0.27)

60.71% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.99% (

-0.13)

91.01% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 81.72%

Juventude 5.27%

Draw 13.01%

Palmeiras	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 81.72%	1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 13.01%	0-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.39% Total : 5.27%