Copa Libertadores
Sep 7, 2022 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Scarpa 3' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 55' goal
  • goal Pablo 64'
  • goal David Terans 85'

Palmeiras vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR 1 - 0 Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR 1 - 0 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Palmeiras 58.38% (+0.02)
Draw 23.64% (+0.01)
Athletico Paranaense 17.98% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.45% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.99% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 53.01% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 25.39% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 74.6% (+0.05)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 82.07% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.92% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.27% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 48.73% (+0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 56.59% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 43.41% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 20.36% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 79.63% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 58.37%
Draw 23.64%
Athletico Paranaense 17.98%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 13.37% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.49% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 58.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.64%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 6.49% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.98%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Alex Santana 23' goal
  • Hugo Moura 58' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 69' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 70' redcard
  • Luiz Felipe Scolari 75' redcard
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 58'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 3, 2022 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joaquin Piquerez 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 36'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 39'
  • yellowcard Abner Vinicius 45'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 58'
CONMEBOL Recopa
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ze Rafael 50' goal
  • Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira 64' yellowcard
  • Abel Ferreira 64' yellowcard
  • Danilo 88' goal
  • Abel Fernando Moreira Ferreira 90'+1' redcard
  • Abel Ferreira 90'+1' redcard
CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 24, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Terans 19' goal
  • Thiago Heleno 70' yellowcard
  • Erick 74' yellowcard
  • Marlos 76' goal
  • Nicolas Hernandez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jailson 28'
  • goal Raphael Veiga 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 6, 2021 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernando Canesin 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Garcia 45'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 29, 2021 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luan Garcia 22' goal
  • Ze Rafael 69' yellowcard
  • Rony 71' goal
  • Deyverson 82' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 88' yellowcard
  • goal Guilherme Bissoli 66'