Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
2 - 2
Athletico PR

(Athletico Paranaense win 3-2 on aggregate)

Scarpa (3'), Gomez (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pablo (64'), Terans (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	25	23	51
2	Flamengo	25	19	44
3	Internacional	25	15	43

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
58.38% ( 0.02)	23.64% ( 0)	17.98% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.45% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

-0.05)

53.01% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

-0.04)

74.6% (

0.04)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

-0.01)

17.92% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27% (

-0.02)

48.73% (

0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.59% (

-0.06)

43.41% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.36% (

-0.05)

79.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 58.37%

Athletico Paranaense 17.98%

Draw 23.64%

Palmeiras	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.37%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.98%