Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.