Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Athletico Paranaense

Santos
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Vieira (35'), Hernandez (90+2' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawAthletico Paranaense
55.49% (0.16 0.16)25.18% (-0.117 -0.12)19.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.43% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.09% (0.365 0.37)56.91% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (0.29 0.29)77.82% (-0.289 -0.29)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.20999999999999 0.21)20.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (0.331 0.33)53.02% (-0.329 -0.33)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.89% (0.167 0.17)44.11% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.79% (0.135 0.14)80.21% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Santos 55.48%
    Athletico Paranaense 19.33%
    Draw 25.18%
SantosDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.33% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.33%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 11pm
Athletico PR
2-2
Santos
Pablo (43'), Baptistao (56' og.)
Hernandez (8'), Christian (25'), Pablo (43'), Cuello (69'), Moura (83')
Leonardo (11', 64')
Auro (39'), Leonardo (53'), Julio (55')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Santos

Ivaldo (68')
Madson (49')
Paulo (67'), Vinicius (86')
Jul 6, 2021 11.30pm
Santos
2-1
Athletico PR
Guilherme (31'), Ivaldo (50' og.)
Fernandes (26'), Felipe (48')
Canesin (45+1')
Heleno (63'), Kayzer (87')
Nov 21, 2020 10pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Santos
Heleno (75')

Sandry (82'), Marinho (90+1')
Aug 16, 2020 11.45pm
Santos
3-1
Athletico PR
Soteldo (29'), Jonatan (41'), Marinho (82')
Alison (55')
Vinicius (88')
Richard (74')