Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Castelao
Santos

Ceara
2 - 1
Santos

Castilho (6'), Roberto (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leonardo (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Ceara
Sunday, September 4 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Goias
Tuesday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawSantos
50.73% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)26.42% (0.004999999999999 0)22.86% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)57.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49% (0.004999999999999 0)78.51%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (0.028999999999996 0.03)40.87% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.026 0.03)77.45% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 50.72%
    Santos 22.86%
    Draw 26.41%
CearaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 13.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head
May 21, 2022 10.30pm
Santos
0-0
Ceara

Julio (45')

Erick (58'), Ricardo (78'), Lindoso (83'), Paraiba (90+1')
Richard (65')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Ceara
0-0
Santos

Kelvyn (19'), Messias (25'), Erick (90+2')

Para (36'), Camacho (43')
Jun 6, 2021 1am
Santos
3-1
Ceara
Mota (19'), Marinho (63'), Jorge (72')
Para (40'), Alison (44'), Peres (52')
Vinicius (45+7' pen.)
Lacerda (45+1')
Dec 27, 2020 9.15pm
Santos
1-1
Ceara
Marinho (11')
Pituca (72'), Jonatan (86')
Xavier (37')
Cleber (45+1'), Saulo (90+6'), Vinicius (90+10')
Nov 4, 2020 10pm
Ceara
1-0
Santos
Vinicius (70')
Vinicius (78'), Carvalho (90+2'), Naressi (90+4')

Pituca (60'), Marinho (90+1')
Sandry (90+5')