Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 11.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • German Cano 19' goal
  • Samuel Xavier 28' goal
  • Jhon Arias 56' goal
  • Michel Araujo 88' goal

Fluminense vs Juventude - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 8.00pm
Flamengo 1 - 2 Fluminense
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
German Cano

Juventude

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 10.00pm
Juventude 1 - 1 Fortaleza
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Oscar Ruiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Fluminense 74.31% (+0.02)
Draw 16.64% (-0.02)
Juventude 9.05% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.48% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.68% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.28% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 65.72% (-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 89.92% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 10.08% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 66.8% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 33.21% (-0.03)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5 48.35% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 51.65% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 14.22% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 85.78% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fluminense 74.29%
Draw 16.64%
Juventude 9.05%
Fluminense
2-0 @ 13.7% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 74.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 16.64%
Juventude
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.05%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Jun 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luccas Claro 32' goal
  • William Matheus 52' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Soares 73' yellowcard
  • Thalisson Kelven 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ganso 52'
  • yellowcard Felipe Melo 67'
  • yellowcard Manoel 82'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 90'+1'
  • redcard Nonato 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 17, 2021 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vitor Mendes 18' goal
  • Guilherme Castilho 73' yellowcard
  • Capixaba 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucca 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Sep 2, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jhon Arias 36' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 53' goal
  • Samuel Xavier 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Jesus 35'
  • goal Lucca 68' (OG)