Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.