Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
4 - 0
Juventude

Cano (19'), Xavier (28'), Arias (56'), Araujo (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fluminense
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Juventude

All competitions
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawJuventude
74.31% (0.013999999999996 0.01)16.64% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)9.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 43.48% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (0.042000000000002 0.04)43.33% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (0.041000000000004 0.04)65.72% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)10.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.8% (0.031000000000006 0.03)33.21% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)85.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 74.29%
    Juventude 9.05%
    Draw 16.64%
FluminenseDrawJuventude
2-0 @ 13.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 74.29%
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 16.64%
0-1 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.05%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Juventude

Fluminense
84.4%
Draw
12.5%
Juventude
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 3pm
Juventude
1-0
Fluminense
Claro (32' og.)
Matheus (52'), Soares (73'), Kelven (90+1')

Ganso (52'), Melo (67'), Manoel (82'), Kennedy (90+1')
Nonato (90+4')
Nov 17, 2021 11.30pm
Juventude
1-0
Fluminense
Mendes (18')
Castilho (73'), Capixaba (82')

Lucca (45+2')
Sep 2, 2021 11pm
Fluminense
1-1
Juventude
Arias (53')
Arias (36'), Xavier (71')
Lucca (68' og.)
Jesus (35')