Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 16, 2022 at 12am UK

Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
3 - 0
Fluminense

(Corinthians win 5-2 on aggregate)

Augusto (34'), Giuliano (90+1'), Melo (90+4' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Fluminense
45.03% ( 0.06)	27.57% ( 0.01)	27.4% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.32% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.19% (

-0.06)

58.81% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68% (

-0.05)

79.32% (

0.05)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96%

26.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

61.08% (

-0)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.63% (

-0.09)

37.36% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.85% (

-0.09)

74.15% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 45.03%

Fluminense 27.4%

Draw 27.56%

Corinthians	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.03%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 27.4%