Brasileiro | Gameweek 26

Sep 11, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Corinthians

Eder (33' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alberto (14')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Atletico GO (4-2 pen.)
Friday, September 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Ceara	26	0	31
13	Sao Paulo	25	2	30
14	Fortaleza	26	-4	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
58.81% ( 0.06)	24.27% ( 0.26)	16.92% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.27% (

-1.38)

56.73% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.32% (

-1.12)

77.68% (

1.11)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

-0.5)

19.15% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.19% (

-0.83)

50.81% (

0.82)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.07% (

-1.24)

46.93% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.57% (

-0.95)

82.43% (

0.95)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 58.8%

Corinthians 16.92%

Draw 24.26%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 58.8%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.23% Total : 16.92%