/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fforlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fflalog.png)
-
Pedro Rocha
18'
-
Pedro Rocha
51'
-
Caio Alexandre
90'+4'
-
Gabriel Barbosa
32'
-
Gabriel Barbosa
45'+5'
Fortaleza vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F36%2Fjuan-pablo-vojvoda.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result
Fortaleza
24.56%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
27.57%
▼
(-0.10)
Flamengo
47.88%
▲
(+0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
44.21%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.57%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
60.43%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
19.44%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 3.5
80.56%
▼
(-0.18)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
59.24%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
40.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
22.65%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
77.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
74.63%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
25.37%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
39.83%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
60.17%
▼
(-0.28)
Score analysis
Fortaleza
24.56%
Draw
27.56%
Flamengo
47.87%
Fortaleza
1-0
@
9.28%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 24.56%
2-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 24.56%
Draw
1-1
@
12.72%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.56%
0-0 @ 10.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.56%
Flamengo
0-1
@
14.18%
▼
(-0.05)
0-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.87%
0-2 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.87%
