Brasileiro | Gameweek 28

Sep 28, 2022 at 11pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
3 - 2
Flamengo

Rocha (18', 51'), Alexandre (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barbosa (32', 45+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 1-2 Fluminense
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Flamengo
24.56% ( -0.11)	27.57% ( -0.09)	47.88% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 44.21% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.57% (

0.23)

60.43% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.44% (

0.18)

80.56% (

-0.17)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.24% (

0.03)

40.76% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.65% (

0.03)

77.34% (

-0.03)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

0.21)

25.37% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

0.28)

60.17% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 24.56%

Flamengo 47.87%

Draw 27.56%

Fortaleza	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.56%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 14.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.87%