Brasileiro | Gameweek 28

Sep 26, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
4 - 0
Avai

Diego (25'), Luciano (45+3'), Patrick (45+6'), Eder (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Avai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Ceara 0-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Avai

All competitions

Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Avai
64.34% ( -0.14)	21.58% ( 0.08)	14.08% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.26% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

-0.21)

51.48% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

-0.18)

73.28% (

0.19)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

-0.11)

15.34% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.91% (

-0.22)

44.09% (

0.23)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.28% (

-0.04)

47.72% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.97% (

-0.03)

83.03% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 64.33%

Avai 14.08%

Draw 21.58%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 64.33%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.08%