Brasileiro | Gameweek 24

Aug 27, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
1 - 0
Avai

Daniel (78')
Chancellor (16'), Egidio (22'), Daniel (25'), Gomes (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Freitas (12'), Guerrero (48'), Ventura (83')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Avai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Avai had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Avai
52.26% ( -0.05)	26.17% ( -0.06)	21.56% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 44.77% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.92% (

0.29)

58.07% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25% (

0.23)

78.74% (

-0.23)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

0.1)

22.34% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

0.15)

55.82% (

-0.15)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.65% (

0.28)

42.35% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.26% (

0.24)

78.73% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 52.25%

Avai 21.56%

Draw 26.17%

Coritiba	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.25%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.56%