Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Sep 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Castelao

Ceara
0 - 2
Sao Paulo

FT(HT: 0-1)

Calleri (23'), Bustos (90+2')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 15 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Bragantino	26	3	33
13	Sao Paulo	26	2	31
14	Ceara	26	0	31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Sao Paulo
42.58% ( 0.34)	27.38% ( 0.09)	30.04% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 48.3% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43% (

-0.49)

57% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.1% (

-0.39)

77.9% (

0.39)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.05)

26.47% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

-0.06)

61.66% (

0.06)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

-0.59)

34.31% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

-0.63)

71.01% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Ceara 42.58%

Sao Paulo 30.04%

Draw 27.38%

Ceara	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.04%