Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Palmeiras
26.53% ( 0.05)	28.15% ( -0.06)	45.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.2% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.77% (

0.22)

61.22% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.84% (

0.16)

81.16% (

-0.16)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.56% (

0.16)

39.44% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.87% (

0.16)

76.13% (

-0.15)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

0.11)

27.02% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

0.14)

62.37% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 26.53%

Palmeiras 45.31%

Draw 28.15%

Botafogo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.53%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 13.94% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.31%