Brasileiro | Gameweek 36
Nov 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Fluminense3 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, October 31 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Monday, October 31 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
56
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
43.87% ( 0.45) | 25.26% ( -0.26) | 30.87% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.8% ( 1.05) | 48.2% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.64% ( 0.95) | 70.35% ( -0.95) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.05% ( 0.66) | 21.95% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.77% ( 0.99) | 55.23% ( -0.99) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( 0.4) | 29.19% ( -0.4) |