Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 36
Nov 5, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Sao Paulo

Fluminense
3 - 1
Sao Paulo

Cano (48', 56', 59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Luciano (30')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, October 31 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawSao Paulo
43.87% (0.449 0.45)25.26% (-0.261 -0.26)30.87% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.774 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (1.047 1.05)48.2% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.953 0.95)70.35% (-0.955 -0.95)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.65600000000001 0.66)21.95% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (0.987 0.99)55.23% (-0.988 -0.99)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.39699999999999 0.4)29.19% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.489 0.49)65.13% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 43.87%
    Sao Paulo 30.87%
    Draw 25.26%
FluminenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.87%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.87%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Sao Paulo
2-2
Fluminense
Luciano (34'), Patrick (42')
Diego (18'), Luciano (31'), Patrick (67'), Calleri (79')
Andre (25'), Manoel (64')
Andre (79'), Paulista (85')
Sep 13, 2021 12.30am
Fluminense
2-1
Sao Paulo
Nino (50'), Henrique (66')
Fred (57'), Nino (58'), Claro (72'), Andre (85'), Bobadilla (90+6')
Reinaldo (60' pen.)
Gomes (36'), Miranda (76'), Rigoni (80'), Neves (87')
May 30, 2021 1am
Sao Paulo
0-0
Fluminense

Reinaldo (13')

Hernandez (37'), Yago (69')
Dec 27, 2020 12am
Fluminense
1-2
Sao Paulo
Fred (52')
Yuri (42'), Nino (75'), Barcelos (84')
Brenner (15', 72')
Luan (63')
Sep 6, 2020 8pm
Sao Paulo
3-1
Fluminense
Brenner (50'), Luciano (54'), Bueno (90+2')
Vinicius (29'), Brenner (90+1'), Luan (90+3')
Silva (41')