/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsaoplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcorlog.png)
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Jonathan Calleri
2'
-
Jonathan Calleri
63'
-
Luciano
72'
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Matheus Cadorini
84'
Sao Paulo vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result
Sao Paulo
71.42%
▲
(+0.63)
Draw
18.21%
▼
(-0.27)
Coritiba
10.37%
▼
(-0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
43.46%
▼
(-0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.72%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
46.28%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
31.43%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
68.57%
▼
(-0.15)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
88.36%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
11.63%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
63.34%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
36.66%
▼
(-0.47)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5
49.18%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
50.82%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 1.5
14.78%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
85.22%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Sao Paulo
71.41%
Draw
18.21%
Coritiba
10.37%
Sao Paulo
2-0
@
13.68%
▲
(+0.16)
1-0 @ 12.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.41%
1-0 @ 12.71% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 71.41%
Draw
1-1
@
8.61%
▼
(-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.21%
0-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.21%
Coritiba
0-1
@
4%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.37%
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.37%
