Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Final
Oct 1, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Independiente del Valle

Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Independiente

FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (13'), Faravelli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-0 Avai
Monday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Last Game: Melgar 0-3 Independiente
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawIndependiente del Valle
52.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)24.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)22.97%
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45%71.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87%36.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 52.76%
    Independiente del Valle 22.97%
    Draw 24.25%
Sao PauloDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.76%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.97%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Independiente

Sao Paulo
60.0%
Draw
26.7%
Independiente del Valle
13.3%
15