Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.