Copa Sudamericana
Oct 1, 2022 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 13'
  • goal Lorenzo Faravelli 67'

Sao Paulo vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 52.77% (-0.01)
Draw 24.26% (-0.01)
Independiente del Valle 22.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.91%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.52% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.45%
Under 3.5 71.55% (-0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 81.28% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.72% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.91% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.09% (-0.01)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 63.87%
Under 0.5 36.13% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.09% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.91% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 52.76%
Draw 24.25%
Independiente del Valle 22.97%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 5.3%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 52.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.25%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.51%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.97%