Copa Sudamericana
Jul 7, 2022 11.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
  • Jorge Almiron 17' yellowcard
  • Raul Loaiza 73' yellowcard
  • Tomas Belmonte 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Segovia 26'
  • yellowcard Jhoanner Chavez 45'+3'
  • redcard Jonathan Bauman 48'

Lanus vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 30, 2022 11.15pm
Independiente 2 - 1 Lanus

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 30, 2022 11.15pm
Independiente 2 - 1 Lanus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Lanus 51.61% (+0.02)
Draw 24.8%
Independiente del Valle 23.58% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.96% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.87% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 51.13% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 27.02% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.98% (+0.02)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 80.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.13% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.87% (+0.01)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 63.54% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 36.46% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 26.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.25% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lanus 51.61%
Draw 24.8%
Independiente del Valle 23.58%
Lanus
1-0 @ 11.69% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 5.11% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 7.22% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 7.28%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.58%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jun 30, 2022 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Bauman 11' yellowcard
  • Richard Schunke 45'+2' goal
  • Jaime Ayovi 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 25'
  • goal Tomas Belmonte 60'
  • yellowcard Jorge Almiron 69'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pasquini 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Perez 87'
  • yellowcard Fernando Monetti 88'