Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Independiente del Valle

Lanus
0 - 0
Independiente


Almiron (17'), Loaiza (73'), Belmonte (86')
FT

Segovia (26'), Chavez (45+3')
Bauman (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Lanus and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 3-0 Lanus
Sunday, July 3 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente del Valle

Last Six:
    Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
    Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 23.58%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

    Result
    LanusDrawIndependiente del Valle
    51.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.8%23.58% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
    Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    48.87% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)51.13% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    27.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)72.98% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
    Lanus Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.2% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)19.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    48.13% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
    Independiente del Valle Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    63.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)36.46% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    26.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)73.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Lanus 51.61%
        Independiente del Valle 23.58%
        Draw 24.8%
    LanusDrawIndependiente del Valle
    1-0 @ 11.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.55%
    2-0 @ 9.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
    3-1 @ 5.16%
    3-0 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    4-1 @ 2.09%
    4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 2.82%
    Total : 51.61%
    		1-1 @ 11.79%
    0-0 @ 7.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    Other @ 0.97%
    Total : 24.8%
    		0-1 @ 7.28%
    1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    1-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 1.82%
    Total : 23.58%

    How you voted: Lanus vs Independiente

    Lanus
    59.3%
    Draw
    29.6%
    Independiente del Valle
    11.1%
    27
    Head to Head
    Jun 30, 2022 11.15pm
    Independiente
    2-1
    Lanus
    Schunke (45+2'), Ayovi (90+3')
    Bauman (11')
    Belmonte (60')
    Perez (25'), Almiron (69'), Pasquini (75'), Perez (87'), Monetti (88')