Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.