Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Lanus

Paradela (26'), Romero (33')
Romero (37'), Fernandez (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acosta (35')
Perez (14'), Belmonte (32'), Aguirre (88'), Aguilar (89')
Perez (90+3'), Aguilar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 1-5 River Plate
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Colon
Sunday, June 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.

Result
River PlateDrawLanus
62.59% (0.085999999999999 0.09)19.59% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)17.81% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.43% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (-0.102 -0.1)35.66% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-0.111 -0.11)57.72% (0.111 0.11)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)10.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.88% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (-0.148 -0.15)33.28% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (-0.161 -0.16)69.9% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 62.59%
    Lanus 17.81%
    Draw 19.59%
River PlateDrawLanus
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 62.59%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: River Plate vs Lanus

River Plate
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lanus
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2021 1am
Lanus
0-3
River Plate

Aude (12'), Gonzalez (29'), Bernabei (78')
Zuculini (31'), De La Cruz (41', 51')
Carrascal (17'), Diaz (49')
Aug 4, 2019 9.45pm
River Plate
3-0
Lanus
Borre (23' pen.), Suarez (30', 87')
Carrascal (45'), Perez (67'), Fernandez (80'), Martinez (92')

Pasquini (28')
Sep 29, 2018 1.15am
Lanus
1-5
River Plate
Maciel (17')
Garcia (57')
Scocco (28'), Ibanez (53' og.), Lollo (58'), De La Cruz (64'), Palacios (71')
Lollo (34'), Moreira (75'), Sosa (83')