MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 02:28:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 26, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Lanus

Paradela (26'), Romero (33')
Romero (37'), Fernandez (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acosta (35')
Perez (14'), Belmonte (32'), Aguirre (88'), Aguilar (89')
Perez (90+3'), Aguilar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 1-5 River Plate
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Colon
Sunday, June 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 3-1 Lanus

Although the two sides are currently level on points, we believe River Plate will have the upper hand over their opponents after winning the last three meetings against Lanus, and we think they will continue that impressive record by clinching all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Lanus win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for River Plate in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for River Plate.

Result
River PlateDrawLanus
62.59% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 19.59% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 17.81% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.43% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (-0.102 -0.1)35.66% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-0.111 -0.11)57.72% (0.111 0.11)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)10.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.88% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.12% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (-0.148 -0.15)33.28% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (-0.161 -0.16)69.9% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 62.59%
    Lanus 17.81%
    Draw 19.59%
River PlateDrawLanus
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 62.59%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: River Plate vs Lanus

River Plate
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lanus
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2021 1am
Lanus
0-3
River Plate

Aude (12'), Gonzalez (29'), Bernabei (78')
Zuculini (31'), De La Cruz (41', 51')
Carrascal (17'), Diaz (49')
Aug 4, 2019 9.45pm
River Plate
3-0
Lanus
Borre (23' pen.), Suarez (30', 87')
Carrascal (45'), Perez (67'), Fernandez (80'), Martinez (92')

Pasquini (28')
Sep 29, 2018 1.15am
Lanus
1-5
River Plate
Maciel (17')
Garcia (57')
Scocco (28'), Ibanez (53' og.), Lollo (58'), De La Cruz (64'), Palacios (71')
Lollo (34'), Moreira (75'), Sosa (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield26139436162048
2TalleresTalleres2613943324948
3HuracanHuracan261210428161246
4River PlateRiver Plate261110538201843
5Racing ClubRacing26134941301143
6Boca Juniors2611873023741
7IndependienteIndependiente2691252517839
8UnionUnion2611692726139
9Atletico TucumanTucuman2610792627-137
10Independiente Rivadavia2610792325-237
11Instituto26106103128336
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Platense269981918136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15BelgranoBelgrano2681173230235
16Deportivo Riestra2681082627-134
17TigreTigre2781092730-334
18Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2671182827132
19GimnasiaGimnasia2688102122-132
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba2687112934-531
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2671092733-631
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
23Rosario CentralRosario2678112529-429
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Sarmiento27511111828-1026
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2667131934-1525
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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