Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.