Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
3 - 0
Lanus

Juarez (20'), Machuca (64'), Aguero (66')
Ignacio Nardoni (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (48'), Cechi (72'), Cabral (73')
Gonzalez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawLanus
44.87% (1.869 1.87)27.06% (0.363 0.36)28.07% (-2.241 -2.24)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-2.282 -2.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-2.351 -2.35)56.65% (2.342 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-1.926 -1.93)77.62% (1.918 1.92)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.119 -0.12)25.14% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.16 -0.16)59.86% (0.15 0.15)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-2.949 -2.95)35.64% (2.941 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-3.165 -3.17)72.41% (3.155 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Union 44.87%
    Lanus 28.07%
    Draw 27.05%
UnionDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.37% (1.04 1.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.689 0.69)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.776 0.78)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.499 -0.5)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Union vs Lanus

Union
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Lanus
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 7.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Union
Sand (22')
Thaller (53'), Morel (70')
Canete (86')
Aug 25, 2019 5.15pm
Union
1-2
Lanus
Gomez Andrade (74')
Corvalan (78'), Martinez (81')
Auzqui (28'), Acosta (58')
Auzqui (34'), De La Vega (66')
Mar 16, 2019 6.30pm
Union
3-0
Lanus
Troyansky (1', 14'), Zabala (50')
Pitton (45'), Pitton (85')

Tiago (45'), Quignon (49'), Carrasco (53')