Argentine Primera Division
Gameweek
6
-
Daniel Juarez
20'
-
Juan Ignacio Nardoni
33'
-
Imanol Machuca
64'
-
Facundo Aguero
66'
-
David Gonzalez
48'
-
David Gonzalez
63'
-
Ignacio Cechi
72'
-
Yonathan Cabral
73'
Union vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
Result
Union
44.87%
▲
(+1.87)
Draw
27.06%
▲
(+0.37)
Lanus
28.07%
▼
(-2.25)
Both Teams to Score:
48.17%
▼
(-2.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.34%
▼
(-2.36)
Under 2.5
56.65%
▲
(+2.35)
Over 3.5
22.38%
▼
(-1.93)
Under 3.5
77.62%
▲
(+1.92)
Union Goals
Over 0.5
74.85%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
25.14%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
40.14%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
59.86%
▲
(+0.15)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5
64.36%
▼
(-2.95)
Under 0.5
35.64%
▲
(+2.95)
Over 1.5
27.59%
▼
(-3.17)
Under 1.5
72.41%
▲
(+3.16)
Score analysis
Union
44.87%
Draw
27.05%
Lanus
28.07%
Union
1-0
@
12.37%
▲
(+1.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.69)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.87%
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.69)
3-1 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.87%
Draw
1-1
@
12.76%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.78)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.05%
0-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.78)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.05%
Lanus
0-1
@
9.25%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.35)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.38)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.07%
1-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.35)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.38)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.07%