Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Sep 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Melgar

Melgar
0 - 3
Independiente

(Independiente del Valle win 6-0 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diaz (28', 53'), Segovia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Melgar and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Melgar
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Independiente del Valle

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Melgar
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Independiente del Valle
55.63% ( 0.02)	23.2% ( -0.01)	21.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

0.02)

47.09% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

0.02)

69.33% (

-0.02)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

0.02)

16.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.3% (

0.03)

46.71% (

-0.03)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51% (

-0)

36.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

-0)

73.28% (

Score Analysis

Melgar 55.62%

Independiente del Valle 21.17%

Draw 23.2%

Melgar	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 55.62%	1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.17%