Copa Sudamericana
Sep 8, 2022 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 28'
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 53'
  • goal Luis Segovia 88'

Melgar vs Independiente del Valle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
Independiente 3 - 0 Melgar

Independiente del Valle

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
Independiente 3 - 0 Melgar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result

Melgar 55.63% (+0.03)
Draw 23.2% (-0.01)
Independiente del Valle 21.17% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.86% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.91% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 47.09% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 30.67% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.33% (-0.02)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5 83.24% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 16.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 53.3% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.71% (-0.03)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5 63.51% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.49% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 26.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.28% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Melgar 55.62%
Draw 23.2%
Independiente del Valle 21.17%
Melgar
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 55.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.2%
Independiente del Valle
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.17%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Sep 1, 2022 1.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Richard Schunke 29' goal
  • Lorenzo Faravelli 67' goal
  • Lautaro Diaz 69' goal