MX23RW : Wednesday, August 10 05:28:33| >> :60:2472:2472:
Jun 30, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estadio Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
0 - 0
Melgar

Congo (19'), Velasco (52')
Lucumi (85'), Luna (89')
FT

Reyna (45'), Orzan (55'), Sanchez (90+6')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Deportivo Cali and Melgar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Deportivo Cali
Friday, May 27 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Deportivo Cali 2-0 Melgar

After dropping out of South America's top competition, Deportivo Cali will be keen to begin the Copa Sudamericana knockout stage on the front foot, and they have the quality to take a lead with home advantage on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cali win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo CaliDrawMelgar
50.58% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.35% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)70.15% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Deportivo Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.99% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.44% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Cali 50.57%
    Melgar 25.07%
    Draw 24.35%
Deportivo CaliDrawMelgar
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.57%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Deportivo Cali vs Melgar

Deportivo Cali
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Melgar
16.7%
12
rhs 2.0
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