Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Racing
1 - 0
Melgar

Chancalay (44')
Miranda (16'), Mura (68'), Dominguez (71'), Correa (84'), Moreno (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Orzan (49'), Galeano (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing Club and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

Last Six:
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Huracan
Sunday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Godoy Cruz vs. Racing
Sunday, June 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Melgar

Last Six:
    Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
    Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
    Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
    Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

    Result
    Racing ClubDrawMelgar
    49.98% (0.030999999999999 0.03)23.32% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)26.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
    Both teams to score 58.95% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    57.95% (0.052999999999997 0.05)42.05% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    35.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)64.46% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
    Racing Club Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.04% (0.032000000000011 0.03)16.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.94% (0.055 0.05)47.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
    Melgar Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    35.1% (0.017999999999994 0.02)64.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Racing Club 49.98%
        Melgar 26.7%
        Draw 23.32%
    Racing ClubDrawMelgar
    2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)
    1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    3-1 @ 5.67% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
    3-0 @ 4.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
    4-0 @ 2.03% (0.004 0)
    4-2 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
    Other @ 4.07%
    Total : 49.98%
    		1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
    3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Other @ 0.22%
    Total : 23.32%
    		1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    1-3 @ 2.76%
    2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 3.39%
    Total : 26.7%

    Head to Head
    Apr 27, 2022 11.15pm
    Melgar
    3-1
    Racing
    Iberico (21', 52'), Cuesta (73')
    Arias (33'), Orzan (37'), Cuesta (40'), Ramos (55'), Galeano (80')
    Correa (87')
    Dominguez (23'), Insua (59'), Copetti (90+3')
    rhs 2.0


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