Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 3, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Saroldi

River Plate
1 - 2
Melgar

Lavega (90+3')
Clar (24'), Borbas (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cuesta (22'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (90+5')
Reyna (38'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (90+6')
Caceda (56')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between River Plate and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Melgar

Last Six:
    Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
    Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
    Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
    Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

    Result
    River PlateDrawMelgar
    44.59%22.91%32.5%
    Both teams to score 64.38%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    63.41%36.58%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    41.26%58.74%
    River Plate Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.09%16.91%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    53.04%46.96%
    Melgar Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.48%22.52%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.91%56.09%
    Score Analysis
        River Plate 44.59%
        Melgar 32.5%
        Draw 22.9%
    River PlateDrawMelgar
    2-1 @ 8.97%
    1-0 @ 6.77%
    2-0 @ 6.01%
    3-1 @ 5.31%
    3-2 @ 3.96%
    3-0 @ 3.56%
    4-1 @ 2.36%
    4-2 @ 1.76%
    4-0 @ 1.58%
    Other @ 4.3%
    Total : 44.59%
    		1-1 @ 10.08%
    2-2 @ 6.68%
    0-0 @ 3.81%
    3-3 @ 1.97%
    Other @ 0.36%
    Total : 22.9%
    		1-2 @ 7.52%
    0-1 @ 5.68%
    0-2 @ 4.23%
    1-3 @ 3.74%
    2-3 @ 3.32%
    0-3 @ 2.1%
    1-4 @ 1.39%
    2-4 @ 1.24%
    Other @ 3.28%
    Total : 32.5%

    How you voted: River Plate vs Melgar

    River Plate
    70.0%
    Draw
    20.0%
    Melgar
    10.0%
    10
    Head to Head
    Apr 13, 2022 11.15pm
    Melgar
    2-0
    River Plate
    Cuesta (3', 78')
    Quevedo (90+1')

    Galletto (34'), Pereira (45+1')