Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín

Melgar
3 - 1
Racing

Iberico (21', 52'), Cuesta (73')
Arias (33'), Orzan (37'), Cuesta (40'), Ramos (55'), Galeano (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Correa (87')
Dominguez (23'), Insua (59'), Copetti (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Racing Club

Last Six:
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Huracan
Sunday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Godoy Cruz vs. Racing
Sunday, June 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.

Result
MelgarDrawRacing Club
39.86%25.79%34.35%
Both teams to score 54.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53%49.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49%71.5%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08%58.92%
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89%63.1%
Score Analysis
    Melgar 39.86%
    Racing Club 34.35%
    Draw 25.78%
MelgarDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.1%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.75%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Melgar vs Racing

Melgar
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Racing Club
30.0%
10
rhs 2.0


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