Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín

Melgar
0 - 0
Internacional

(0-0 on aggregate)

Cuesta (58'), Deneumostier (90+5')

Alemao (30'), Bustos (41')
Alemao (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Melgar and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

Last Game: Melgar 2-1 Deportivo Cali
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Melgar	Draw	Internacional
50.41% ( 0.04)	25.81%	23.78% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

-0.04)

54.84% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

-0.03)

76.14% (

0.03)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

21.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45% (

55% (

-0)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-0.06)

38.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.05)

75.09% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Melgar 50.4%

Internacional 23.78%

Draw 25.81%

Melgar	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.4%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.78%