Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Tachira0 - 1Independiente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Tachira (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Independiente
Thursday, July 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, July 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Deportivo Tachira 1-1 Independiente del Valle
The onus is largely on the home side to seize the initiative and secure a first-leg advantage heading into the return leg. We fancy them to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
43.35% ( 0.04) | 25.28% ( -0.01) | 31.37% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
