Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
Independiente del Valle

Tachira
0 - 1
Independiente


Flores (42'), Camacho (55'), Hernandez (74'), Farias (74'), Mello (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Angulo (3')
Ayovi (45+3')
Ayovi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Deportivo Tachira and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

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Last Game: Santos 1-1 Tachira (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Independiente del Valle

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Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Independiente
Thursday, July 7 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawIndependiente del Valle
43.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)25.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)48.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.76% (0.026 0.03)70.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03)22.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (0.044999999999995 0.04)55.51% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)64.65% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 43.35%
    Independiente del Valle 31.37%
    Draw 25.27%
Deportivo TachiraDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Tachira vs Independiente

Deportivo Tachira
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Independiente del Valle
21.1%
19