Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 6, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
Coritiba

Palmeiras
4 - 0
Coritiba

Mayke (15'), Rony (34'), Gomez (51'), Lopes (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Palmeiras
Tuesday, October 4 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Ceara
Wednesday, September 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 9.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCoritiba
75.65% (0.569 0.57)15.22% (-0.247 -0.25)9.13% (-0.321 -0.32)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.82% (0.129 0.13)36.18% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.71% (0.142 0.14)58.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.155 0.16)8% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.79% (0.386 0.39)28.21% (-0.385 -0.39)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (-0.582 -0.58)46.63% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (-0.449 -0.45)82.21% (0.449 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 75.65%
    Coritiba 9.13%
    Draw 15.22%
PalmeirasDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 11.9% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 10.01% (0.153 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.33% (0.149 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.2% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.44% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.03% (0.023 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 75.65%
1-1 @ 7.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.22%
0-1 @ 2.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 9.13%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Coritiba

Palmeiras
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Coritiba
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 10pm
Coritiba
0-2
Palmeiras

Biro (36')
Anderson (72')
Dudu (23'), Rony (63')
Dudu (34'), Silva de Freitas (84')
Feb 17, 2021 10.30pm
Coritiba
1-0
Palmeiras
Jonathan (88')
Neilton (75'), Osman (89')

Kuscevic (18'), Renan (23'), D (66')
Kuscevic (63')
Oct 14, 2020 10pm
Palmeiras
1-3
Coritiba
Veron (38')
Rafael (21'), Melo (53'), Veron (90+2')
Robson (8', 24'), Augusto (65')
Sasse (3'), Sabino (90+3')