Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fluminense

Fortaleza
4 - 2
Fluminense

Galhardo (29'), Moises (35', 60'), Hercules (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carvalho (45+2'), Kennedy (69')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-3 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Athletico PR
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawFluminense
35.09% (0.144 0.14)26.3% (-0.073 -0.07)38.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.311 0.31)51.57% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.271 0.27)73.36% (-0.273 -0.27)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.238 0.24)28.14% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.3 0.3)63.82% (-0.303 -0.3)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.102 0.1)26.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (0.139 0.14)61.17% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 35.09%
    Fluminense 38.6%
    Draw 26.3%
FortalezaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.09%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.6%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Fluminense

Fortaleza
0.0%
Draw
71.4%
Fluminense
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 11pm
gameweek 26
Fluminense
2-1
Fortaleza
Cano (11', 57')
Galhardo (51')
Robson (58')
Aug 18, 2022 12am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Fluminense
2-2
Fortaleza
Ganso (64' pen.), Cano (72')
Ganso (11'), Manoel (77'), Melo (90+9')
Nino (12' og.), Romero (45+1')
Romero (34'), Hercules (39')
Jul 29, 2022 12.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fortaleza
0-1
Fluminense

Capixaba (10'), Sasha (25'), Crispim (47')
Nonato (35')
Nonato (16')
May 22, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Fortaleza
0-1
Fluminense

Lima (57')
Henrique (9')
Braz (90+2')
Oct 7, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 24
Fluminense
0-2
Fortaleza

Henrique (45+6'), Fred (77')
Marcelo (49'), Titi (60')
Henriquez (34'), Marcelo (44')