Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Fortaleza
38.86% ( 0.41)	28.54% ( -0.03)	32.59% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.5% (

0.05)

60.5% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38% (

0.04)

80.62% (

-0.03)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

0.27)

30.23% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6% (

0.32)

66.4% (

-0.31)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.24)

34.3% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.25)

71% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 38.86%

Fortaleza 32.59%

Draw 28.53%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.53%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 32.59%