Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
San Lorenzo0 - 2Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, April 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, April 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Fortaleza |
38.86% ( 0.41) | 28.54% ( -0.03) | 32.59% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 45.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
