San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (9' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-3 San Lorenzo
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Colon
Monday, April 10 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawBoca Juniors
36.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)30.75% (0.038 0.04)32.74% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Both teams to score 40.1% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.55% (-0.11 -0.11)67.45% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.43% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)85.57% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)35.34% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)72.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (-0.132 -0.13)37.98% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25% (-0.129 -0.13)74.75% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 36.51%
    Boca Juniors 32.74%
    Draw 30.74%
San LorenzoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 13.42% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.74%
0-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Boca Juniors
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 7.30pm
San Lorenzo
2-1
Boca Juniors
Giay (38'), Bareiro (54')
Rosane (45+5'), Fernandez (45+5'), Gattoni (78')
Rojo (28')
Fabra (23'), Varela (53'), Zambrano (62'), Rojo (74')
Jul 28, 2021 1am
Boca Juniors
0-2
San Lorenzo

Ezequiel Agustin Fernandez Carballo (78')
Peruzzi (31'), Ortigoza (47' pen.)
Fernandez (9'), Gordillo (33'), Rojas (38'), Peruzzi (90+3')
Sep 21, 2019 9.45pm
San Lorenzo
0-2
Boca Juniors

Menossi (21'), Bareiro (63'), Romero (75')
Lopez (44'), Hurtado (93')
Lopez (17'), Reynoso (75')
Mar 10, 2019 12.30am
Boca Juniors
3-0
San Lorenzo
Zarate (4'), Nandez (65'), Villa (84')
Zarate (26'), Villa (54'), Abila (71'), Buffarini (88'), Marcone (89')

Perez (3'), Poblete (16'), Salazar (48'), Peruzzi (60'), Castellani (88'), Blandi (91'), Rojas (92')
Monetti (70')