Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.