Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jan 30, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Atletico Tucuman

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Tucuman

Romero (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Everton
Saturday, January 14 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Estudiantes (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, January 15 at 9.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
51.85% (-0.252 -0.25)26.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.17% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 42.27% (0.315 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (0.24 0.24)61.08% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (0.179 0.18)81.05% (-0.175 -0.17)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03% (-0.012 -0.01)57.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.42 0.42)44.52% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (0.338 0.34)80.55% (-0.333 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 51.85%
    Atletico Tucuman 21.17%
    Draw 26.97%
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.17%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 10pm
Boca Juniors
2-1
Tucuman
Langoni (77', 87')
Advincula (29'), Zambrano (45+2'), Fernandez (79'), Langoni (88')
Lotti (17')
Garay (52'), Acosta (90'), Thaller (90+1')
Sep 19, 2021 12.15am
Tucuman
1-2
Boca Juniors
Lopez (57' og.)
Lotti (28'), Campos (58'), Benitez (89'), Menendez (90+4')
Mussis (90+6')
Lopez (11'), Agustin Montes (30')
Campuzano (81')
Apr 17, 2021 10pm
Boca Juniors
3-1
Tucuman
Medina (5'), Villa (11'), Soldano (90+5')
Heredia (22')
Mussis (39'), Erbes (54'), Gabriel Osores (82'), Bustos (90+1'), Ortiz (90+4')
Erbes (60')
Feb 9, 2020 12.45am
Boca Juniors
2-0
Tucuman
Soldano (23'), Abila (90' pen.)
Campuzano (30'), Fabra (88')

Bravo (14'), Ortiz (53'), Melano (72'), (90')
Carrera (90')
Feb 21, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-2
Tucuman
Abila (61')
Tevez (10'), Nandez (36'), Benedetto (76')
Nunez (9'), Barbona (70')
Abero (14'), Nunez (51'), Diaz (63'), Aliendro (76'), San Roman (76'), Leyes (81'), Barbona (90')