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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Aug 28, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Atletico Tucuman

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Tucuman

Langoni (77', 87')
Advincula (29'), Zambrano (45+2'), Fernandez (79'), Langoni (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lotti (17')
Garay (52'), Acosta (90'), Thaller (90+1')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 0-1 Boca Juniors
Monday, August 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 4-0 Barracas Central
Wednesday, August 24 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
62.22% (0.146 0.15) 22.94% (-0.102 -0.1) 14.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.26% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (0.288 0.29)55.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (0.237 0.24)76.44% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.154 0.15)17.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27% (0.27200000000001 0.27)47.73% (-0.273 -0.27)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.13% (0.11 0.11)48.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (0.077999999999999 0.08)83.86% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 62.2%
    Atletico Tucuman 14.83%
    Draw 22.94%
Boca JuniorsDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 14.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.6% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.83%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 12.15am
Tucuman
1-2
Boca Juniors
Lopez (57' og.)
Lotti (28'), Campos (58'), Benitez (89'), Menendez (90+4')
Mussis (90+6')
Lopez (11'), Agustin Montes (30')
Campuzano (81')
Apr 17, 2021 10pm
Boca Juniors
3-1
Tucuman
Medina (5'), Villa (11'), Soldano (90+5')
Heredia (22')
Mussis (39'), Erbes (54'), Gabriel Osores (82'), Bustos (90+1'), Ortiz (90+4')
Erbes (60')
Feb 9, 2020 12.45am
Boca Juniors
2-0
Tucuman
Soldano (23'), Abila (90' pen.)
Campuzano (30'), Fabra (88')

Bravo (14'), Ortiz (53'), Melano (72'), (90')
Carrera (90')
Feb 21, 2019 12am
Boca Juniors
1-2
Tucuman
Abila (61')
Tevez (10'), Nandez (36'), Benedetto (76')
Nunez (9'), Barbona (70')
Abero (14'), Nunez (51'), Diaz (63'), Aliendro (76'), San Roman (76'), Leyes (81'), Barbona (90')
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