Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Aug 6, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
3 - 1
Tucuman

Lomonaco (40'), Goni (51'), Diaz (90+1')
Miloc (30'), Canto (62'), Gariglio (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Orihuela (45+2')
Carrera (39'), Bianchi (45'), Garay (71')
Bianchi (68')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
38.6% ( -0.14)	30.65% ( -0.09)	30.75% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 39.94% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.56% (

0.3)

67.44% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.44% (

0.2)

85.56% (

-0.2)

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

0.08)

33.98% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

0.08)

70.66% (

-0.08)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.5% (

0.36)

39.5% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.81% (

0.33)

76.19% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 38.59%

Atletico Tucuman 30.74%

Draw 30.64%

Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 14.48% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.64%	0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 30.74%