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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona
Atletico Tucuman

Arsenal
3 - 1
Tucuman

Lomonaco (40'), Goni (51'), Diaz (90+1')
Miloc (30'), Canto (62'), Gariglio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orihuela (45+2')
Carrera (39'), Bianchi (45'), Garay (71')
Bianchi (68')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Arsenal
Monday, August 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Atletico Tucuman

Last Six:
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawAtletico Tucuman
38.6% (-0.138 -0.14) 30.65% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 30.75% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 39.94% (0.281 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.56% (0.304 0.3)67.44% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.44% (0.204 0.2)85.56% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (0.078000000000003 0.08)33.98% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)70.66% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (0.357 0.36)39.5% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (0.331 0.33)76.19% (-0.328 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 38.59%
    Atletico Tucuman 30.74%
    Draw 30.64%
Arsenal SarandiDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 14.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.59%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 13.42% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.64%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 5.30pm
Tucuman
0-0
Arsenal

Mussis (68'), Ruiz (90'), Lamendola (90+4')

Miloc (77')
Nov 30, 2020 10.20pm
Zone One
Tucuman
3-2
Arsenal
Alustiza (79' pen., 90+4'), Ortiz (90+2')
Erbes (32')
Albertengo (61'), Necul (89' pen.)
Castro (86'), Necul (89'), Soraire (90')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Zone One
Arsenal
1-2
Tucuman
Carabajal (57')
Mendez (42')
Mendez (79')
Risso (9'), Melano (90+2')
Toledo (53'), Risso (56'), Ortiz (71'), Carrera (81')
Sep 1, 2019 3pm
Tucuman
1-0
Arsenal
Ortiz (20')
Toledo (24'), Bianchi (25'), Diaz (89')
Toledo (49')

Pereyra (84')
rhs 2.0
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