Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 10, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Lotti (1'), Ruiz (63')
Bianchi (29'), Di Franco (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morales (58'), Miranda (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

Last Six:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

Last Six:
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Defensa
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawGimnasia
40.13% (-0.253 -0.25)28.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)31.66% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.54% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.075000000000003 0.08)59.51% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.058 0.06)79.87% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-0.108 -0.11)29.01% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-0.135 -0.13)64.91% (0.133 0.13)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (0.226 0.23)34.44% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (0.242 0.24)71.15% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 40.12%
    Gimnasia 31.66%
    Draw 28.21%
Atletico TucumanDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Gimnasia

Atletico Tucuman
19.0%
Draw
23.8%
Gimnasia
57.1%
21
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 11pm
Tucuman
1-2
Gimnasia
Ortiz (40')
Lotti (10'), Gil Romero (34'), Ortiz (48'), Carrera (60'), Acosta (71')
Carrera (90+5')
Tarragona (16', 61')
Gerometta (45+1'), Melluso (82'), Rey (89'), Sosa (90+5')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Gimnasia
1-0
Tucuman
Aleman (90+4')

Daniel Valor (57'), Lagos (90+3')
Daniel Valor (75')
Mar 20, 2021 5pm
Gimnasia
2-0
Tucuman
Weigandt (10'), Carbonero (75')
Carbonero (76'), Weigandt (90+3')

Lagos (30'), Mussis (63'), Acosta (72'), Vergini (89')
Jan 11, 2021 12.30am
Zone Six
Gimnasia
0-1
Tucuman

Aleman (53'), Broun (62'), Garcia (64'), Mancilla (70'), Melluso (86'), Weigandt (90+2')
Ortiz (62')
Carrera (37'), Mussis (46'), Erbes (75')
Feb 29, 2020 8.30pm
Gimnasia
1-0
Tucuman
Garcia (54')
Contin (68'), Melluso (78')
Melluso (79')

Ortiz (65'), Ortiz (71'), Cabral (90')
rhs 2.0


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