Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 2, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Atletico Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Tucuman


Caseres (26'), Florentin (38'), Insua (82'), Brizuela (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Capasso (18')
Sandoval (43'), Pereyra (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Atletico Tucuman

Last Six:
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, June 28 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
61.9% (-3.461 -3.46)23.46% (1.425 1.43)14.63% (2.033 2.03)
Both teams to score 40.51% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-1.369 -1.37)57.34% (1.367 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-1.101 -1.1)78.16% (1.099 1.1)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (-1.708 -1.71)18.23% (1.704 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-2.989 -2.99)49.27% (2.985 2.99)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.55% (2.364 2.36)50.45% (-2.367 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.03% (1.564 1.56)84.97% (-1.564 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 61.89%
    Atletico Tucuman 14.63%
    Draw 23.46%
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 13.32% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.929 -0.93)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.604 -0.6)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.281 -0.28)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.89%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.68 0.68)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.721 0.72)
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.462 0.46)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.374 0.37)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 14.63%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Atletico Tucuman
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2021 1.15am
Tucuman
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Vergini (18'), Acosta (26'), Carrera (28')

Martin Lucero (37')
Centurion (90+4')
Apr 13, 2021 1.15am
Tucuman
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (13'), Lotti (76')
Heredia (49'), Risso (63'), Ortiz (87'), Erbes (90+3')

De La Fuente (49'), Mancuello (90')
Sep 17, 2019 1.10am
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Tucuman
Janson (19')
Bouzat (43')

Bravo (36'), Diaz (81'), Acosta (85')
Mar 16, 2019 4.15pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Tucuman
Bouzat (43'), Galdames (90')
Bouzat (70'), Abram (89')

Abero (70'), Nunez (71'), San Roman (74')