Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	River Plate
29.48% ( -0.25)	25.36% ( 0.02)	45.15% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72% (

-0.21)

49.28% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

-0.19)

71.33% (

0.19)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

-0.28)

30.7% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-0.34)

66.96% (

0.34)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.18% (

0.01)

21.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97% (

0.02)

55.03% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 29.48%

River Plate 45.14%

Draw 25.36%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.48%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.14%