MX23RW : Tuesday, April 23 06:50:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 25, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Fernandez (88')
Cardona (27'), Gutierrez (39'), Soto (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garayalde (90')
Gomez (25'), Ortega (49'), Garayalde (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Defensa
Monday, June 20 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Rosario
Monday, June 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Velez Sarsfield

Defensa y Justicia have certainly struggled so are and things look to only be getting worse. With renewed confidence from their three-point haul last time out, the visitors should have what it takes to outclass their hosts and leave with another triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVelez Sarsfield
41.2% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 26.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 32.08% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.84% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)75.3% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)60.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)31.21% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)67.55% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 41.2%
    Velez Sarsfield 32.08%
    Draw 26.71%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.2%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Defensa vs Velez Sarsfield

Defensa y Justicia
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
Velez Sarsfield
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 8.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Defensa

Centurion (37'), Andres Romero (52'), Caseres (78')

Paredes (22'), Rotondi (39')
Mar 28, 2021 8.15pm
Defensa
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (19')
Jeremias Fernandez (22'), Escalante (73'), Meza (82')
Jeremias Fernandez (43')
Tarragona (61')
Alvarez (22'), Mancuello (69'), Gianetti (75'), Tarragona (90+2')
Amor (56')
Sep 29, 2019 7.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Defensa

Gimenez (49')
Marquez (58')
Cesar Gonzalez Trinidad (9')
Nov 5, 2018 10pm
Defensa
3-2
Velez Sarsfield
Dominguez (39' og.), Rojas (45', 63')
Barboza (57'), Larrondo (93')
Almada (32', 70')
Cubero (45'), Robertone (53'), De La Fuente (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!