Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Godoy Cruz
2 - 1
Defensa

Ortiz (23'), Rodriguez (36')
Barrios (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pizzini (14')
Cardona (48'), Colombo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Godoy Cruz and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.

Result
Godoy Cruz	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
52.99% ( 2.08)	24.2% ( -0.93)	22.81% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 51.91% (

1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57% (

2.65)

49.42% (

-2.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53% (

2.33)

71.46% (

-2.33)

Godoy Cruz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4% (

1.86)

18.6% (

-1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.11% (

3.04)

49.88% (

-3.04)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77% (

0.41)

36.23% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.99% (

0.41)

73.01% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Godoy Cruz 52.98%

Defensa y Justicia 22.81%

Draw 24.19%

Godoy Cruz	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.23% Total : 52.98%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.76) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.81%