Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 1.30am UK
 
Defensa y Justicia

LDU Quito
2 - 2
Defensa

Quinteros (5'), Angulo (71')
Alvarado (47'), Ayala (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Albertengo (29', 44')
Cardona (12'), Alanis (45+1'), Albertengo (66'), Agustin Duarte (77'), Duarte (77'), Pieres (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

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Last Game: LDU Quito 1-1 Atletico GO
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawDefensa y Justicia
37.36% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)38.52% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)41.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12%63.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.19% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)55.6% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (0.045999999999992 0.05)21.61% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29% (0.069999999999993 0.07)54.71% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 37.36%
    Defensa y Justicia 38.52%
    Draw 24.13%
LDU QuitoDrawDefensa y Justicia
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.52%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 11.15pm
Defensa
1-2
LDU Quito
Albertengo (82')
Tripichio (85'), Fontana (90+1'), Albertengo (90+1')
Alvarado (55', 87')
Arce (90+1')