Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Antofagasta and LDU Quito.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.29%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for LDU Quito in this match.