Defensa
1 - 0
Patronato

Frias (55' pen.)
Gutierrez (43'), Bou (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nahuel Banega (13'), Mosevich (54'), Quintana (65'), Valdez (90+2')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Patronato.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Patronato
59.52%	21.84%	18.64%

Both teams to score 53.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32%

44.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.96%

67.04%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37%

14.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.25%

42.75%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.25%

37.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48%

74.53%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 59.51%

Patronato 18.65%

Draw 21.84%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.68% Total : 59.51%	1-1 @ 10.34% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.84%	0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.65%