Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 0Patronato
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Patronato.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Gimnasia vs. Patronato
Friday, June 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Patronato |
59.52% | 21.84% | 18.64% |
Both teams to score 53.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.32% | 44.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.96% | 67.04% |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.37% | 14.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.25% | 42.75% |
Patronato Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.25% | 37.75% |