Patronato
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 19, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella
Defensa y Justicia

Patronato
3 - 3
Defensa

Ibanez (21' pen.), Arias (36'), Unsain (90+2' og.)
Magallanes (61'), Benitez (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pizzini (32'), Tripichio (45+1'), Rotondi (65')
Frias (42'), (90')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Patronato and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawDefensa y Justicia
38.47%29.37%32.16%
Both teams to score 43.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.68%63.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.3%82.7%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1%31.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88%36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1%72.9%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 38.46%
    Defensa y Justicia 32.16%
    Draw 29.36%
PatronatoDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.16%
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.46%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.73%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 32.16%

rhs 2.0


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