Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Oct 15, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Patronato

Rosario
3 - 2
Patronato

Ruben (4'), Ferreyra (85'), Vecchio (90+3')
Martinez (29'), Vecchio (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sosa (44', 77')
Garcia (51'), Pardo (61'), Ibanez (83'), Sosa (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawPatronato
49.22%26.15%24.63%
Both teams to score 48.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55%55.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35%76.64%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83%56.17%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.09%37.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32%74.68%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 49.21%
    Patronato 24.63%
    Draw 26.15%
Rosario CentralDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 12.73%
2-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.21%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 24.63%