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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Rosario Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Rosario Central

 Velez have stumbled into the new season, picking up one point from the first nine to already sit in the lower echelons of the table. Rosario Central dug deep to secure all three points last time out and we predict they will build on that result and come out victorious on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
54.74% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.05% (0.156 0.16) 21.21% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.504 -0.5)50.55% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.447 -0.45)72.47% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)18.36% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.497 -0.5)49.47% (0.493 0.49)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.169 -0.17)38.41% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.161 -0.16)75.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 54.73%
    Rosario Central 21.21%
    Draw 24.04%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
Rosario
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Novaretti (36'), Rinaudo (56')
Fernandez (81')
Fernandez (87')
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Robertone (69'), Almada (81')
Cufre (45')

Jose Gomez (2'), Arismendi (34'), Herrera (63'), Ortiz (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield26139436162048
2TalleresTalleres2613943324948
3HuracanHuracan261210428161246
4River PlateRiver Plate261110538201843
5Racing ClubRacing26134941301143
6Boca Juniors2611873023741
7IndependienteIndependiente2691252517839
8UnionUnion2611692726139
9Atletico TucumanTucuman2610792627-137
10Independiente Rivadavia2610792325-237
11Instituto26106103128336
12Platense269981918136
13EstudiantesEstudiantes2681173432235
14BelgranoBelgrano2681173230235
15LanusLanus2681172528-335
16Deportivo Riestra2681082627-134
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2671182827132
18GimnasiaGimnasia2688102122-132
19TigreTigre2671092630-431
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba2687112934-531
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2671092733-631
22Rosario CentralRosario2678112529-429
23San Lorenzo2678112025-529
24Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2685132026-629
25Sarmiento26510111727-1025
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2667131934-1525
27BanfieldBanfield2658132135-1423
28Barracas Central26410121230-1822
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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