Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Defensa y Justicia

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Defensa

Muro (78')
(0'), Cardozo (22'), Gorosito (57'), Aleman (81'), Cecchini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alanis (19'), Rodriguez (53'), Cardona (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 0-1 Gimnasia
Friday, June 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gimnasia.

Result
GimnasiaDrawDefensa y Justicia
51.94% (1.608 1.61)24.28% (-0.234 -0.23)23.78% (-1.377 -1.38)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.716 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-0.248 -0.25)48.81% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-0.225 -0.23)70.91% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.538 0.54)18.77% (-0.543 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (0.89700000000001 0.9)50.17% (-0.902 -0.9)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-1.324 -1.32)35% (1.319 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (-1.415 -1.42)71.75% (1.41 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 51.94%
    Defensa y Justicia 23.78%
    Draw 24.27%
GimnasiaDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.399 0.4)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.136 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.162 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Defensa

Gimnasia
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Defensa y Justicia
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 10.15pm
Defensa
3-2
Gimnasia
Merentiel (5'), Rotondi (44'), Tripichio (70')
Bou (15'), Tripichio (58'), Soto (87')
Tarragona (37'), Frias (90+1' og.)
Fratta (42'), Carbonero (49'), Aleman (86')
Aug 1, 2021 5.30pm
Defensa
3-2
Gimnasia
Pizzini (68'), Bou (87'), Contreras (90+5')
Cardona (17'), Frias (80'), Contreras (90+1')
Fratta (47'), Perez Garcia (67')
Fratta (48')
Mar 7, 2021 10.20pm
Gimnasia
1-1
Defensa
Carbonero (48')
Weigandt (30'), Ramirez (82')
Isnaldo (70')
Frias (27'), Meza (33'), Jeremias Fernandez (37'), Britez (73'), Benitez (76')
Meza (85')
Aug 24, 2019 5.15pm
Gimnasia
0-1
Defensa

Torsiglieri (43'), Martin Arias (74'), Spinelli (76')
Delgado (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Martinez (63')
Feb 16, 2019 10.20pm
Gimnasia
0-1
Defensa

Monti (56')
Guanini (15' og.)
Unsain (45'), Fernandez (53'), Miranda (65'), Aliseda (69')
rhs 2.0


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