Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
3 - 1
Racing

Ramirez (7'), Aleman (40' pen., 66')
Ramirez (8'), Aleman (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Copetti (26')
Mena (23'), Rojas (45'), Sigali (54'), Gomez (63'), Cardona (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Racing Club
41.67% ( 0.14)	26.85% ( -0.22)	31.49% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 50.49% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5% (

0.89)

54.5% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

0.74)

75.86% (

-0.73)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

0.48)

25.81% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

0.65)

60.77% (

-0.64)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

0.52)

31.96% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

0.59)

68.41% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 41.67%

Racing Club 31.49%

Draw 26.84%

Gimnasia	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.67%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.49%